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right-censor the current wait.", "Labels are automatic-reset announcement times, not measured account rollouts.", "48/72-hour windows overlap; rows are not independent trials.", "Tweet and incident multipliers are not backtested; no historical pre-event signal log exists." ], "forecasts": [ { "at": "2026-03-28T00:00:00.000Z", "hours": 24, "y": 0, "p": 0.0856264613669979, "baseline": 0.06441046700502175, "trainingEvents": 13 }, { "at": "2026-03-28T00:00:00.000Z", "hours": 48, "y": 0, "p": 0.18355656277349428, "baseline": 0.12467222575023851, "trainingEvents": 13 }, { "at": "2026-03-28T00:00:00.000Z", "hours": 72, "y": 0, "p": 0.27246455123549046, "baseline": 0.1810524964721319, "trainingEvents": 13 }, { "at": "2026-03-29T00:00:00.000Z", "hours": 24, "y": 0, "p": 0.10646794797714682, "baseline": 0.06387615921258641, "trainingEvents": 13 }, { "at": "2026-03-29T00:00:00.000Z", "hours": 48, "y": 0, "p": 0.20338138150583762, "baseline": 0.12367215470942111, "trainingEvents": 13 }, { "at": 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